- 92,856
- evaluated question-paraphrase pairs
- 6
- medical models tested
- 3
- countries: US, Spain, Vietnam
- 5
- accepted papers
Remove the image. The answer stays.
The dissertation's test: ask the same question with and without the radiograph.
Is there evidence of pneumothorax in this image?
Is there evidence of pneumothorax in this image?
The four-quadrant screen
Cross that test with paraphrase consistency, and every prediction lands in one of four cells.
Choose a quadrant to see what it means, or read the four definitions below.
The four quadrants, as text
- Dangerous: Consistent but image-invariant
- The model gives the same answer to rephrased questions and the same answer when the image is removed or swapped. Consistency here is a text prior, with no visual reasoning behind it. This is the failure the paper Consistent but Dangerous is named for. See the evidence.
- Ideal: Consistent and image-dependent
- The model gives the same answer to rephrased questions, and its answer changes when the image changes. This is the target behavior. See the evidence.
- Worst: Inconsistent and image-invariant
- The answer moves with the wording but not with the image. Neither stable nor grounded. See the evidence.
- Fragile: Inconsistent but image-dependent
- The model uses the image, but rephrasing still changes the answer. Unstable, yet grounded. See the evidence.
These are behavioral categories. Correctness is a separate axis. The Dangerous cell — consistent, but identical without the image — is the one accuracy benchmarks cannot see.
Five thrusts, five findings
Each thrust answers a question the previous one opened.
- Measurement How often do equivalent questions change model answers? All six models flip, and scale does not close the gap. 6.4–54.7% pairwise flip range
- Some models are strikingly consistent. Is that reasoning, or ignoring the image?
- Diagnosis Does consistency mean the model is using the image? No. The most consistent backend barely reads the image. 96.3% LLaVA-Rad answers kept with the image removed, 107-pair diagnostic set
- If consistency can be ungrounded, can flips be cut without leaning harder on the text?
- Mitigation Can paraphrase flips be reduced without degrading observed accuracy? Yes, but the consistency is bought from the question text. 8.5% → 3.5% pairwise flips, patient-disjoint
- The adapter cut flips. Did it make the model safer?
- Safety Do consistency improvements produce safer, more image-dependent behavior? No. Tuning for consistency concentrates predictions in the Dangerous cell. 81% of consistent predictions are image-invariant
- If consistency cannot be trusted, what flags the predictions a clinician should check?
- Deployment Can uncertainty and audit signals identify predictions that should be escalated? Partly. Entropy ranks flips well, but the gate admits text-answerable cases. 0.823 AUROC from one forward pass
Why this matters
For patients
A reworded question can flip a finding from present to absent: the difference between a study flagged for review and one that is not.
For clinicians
A tool that answers the same question two ways cannot be trusted at the bedside, however high its accuracy.
For evaluation
Accuracy-only benchmarks are structurally blind to this failure: a model can score well and still flip.
Where to start
Three ways in, depending on how long you have.
Five-minute overview
The argument and the one result that carries it.
Fifteen-minute evidence tour
One result per thrust, measurement through deployment.
Full technical path
Every thrust, every population, every source.
Read the dissertation
227 pages, eight chapters and appendices. The defense is expected in August 2026.
This PDF is a draft circulated ahead of the August 2026 defense; it is not the final archival dissertation and its contents may change before deposit.